Change Detection Exercise:

Image Deviation

 

Introduction

While techniques appear to be quite rich for the pairwise comparison of images, far fewer methods exist for cases where much larger time series data are being examined. Here we are concerned with a whole sequence of images and the ability to examine trends in environmental change or the abstraction of significant anomalies from the general trend (Eastman et al, 1995).

One of the techniques for analyzing long time series data; image deviation will be addressed in this exercise. With image deviation, it is assumed that change areas are identified by contrast to a long-term average or characteristic condition. Given such a characteristic image, the deviation of any particular time from this long-term average can then be assessed by simple differencing. One possibility would be to produce a mean image (i.e., a simple average) over the whole series. This would then allow change for any specific image to be evaluated by subtracting it from the mean (Eastman et al, 1995).

The Data Set

NDVI Images for the month of March from 1982 to 1991 will be used along with the NDVI image for March of 1992. This data set is the same as the one used in the image differencing exercise. The data set was produced by USAID/FEWS from compositing dekadal (10 day) images into a monthly maximum value composite, where the maximum value over the three dekads in each month for each pixel is used to represent that pixels monthly vegetation index.

Procedure

The objective of this exercise is to be able to understand change in one time slice as a deviation from its own long term mean. We will difference the March 1992 NDVI image from the long term average NDVI image for March. We would first need to add the ten March images (1982 to 1991) and then divide them by ten to get the average March NDVI image. We could reclassify the SDMAR92 image into four categories to better identify areas of change.  
Assign a new value of  to all old values 
ranging from  to 
-202  -21 
-20 
19 
20  120 
1
The threshold of 20 was based on expert opinion to identify areas of significant change. Call the output SDMAR92R. Display SDMAR92R with a any color palette. Categories 2 and 3 in this image represent areas of non-significant change, while 1 and 4 correspond to areas of significant departure from the long term mean.

You should now be able to clearly see the areas of negative anomalies in March of 1992 as compared to the March long term mean. The entire north and eastern parts of Zimbabwe, Northern Mozambique, Central Botswana, and Central to Northern Namibia seems to be the worst affected areas. In the next exercise, we will analyze a relatively more advanced differencing technique and explore the combination of NDVI difference with socio-economic factors.

Observations

Image deviation is a commonly used technique for expressing current month anomalies in its long term setting. It is very helpful as a monitoring tool during a growing season to understand the spatial extent and progress of vegetation. In practice, agencies such as USAID/Famine Early Warning System, FAO/Global Information and Early Warning System, etc. publish dekadal (10 days) and monthly images for most of the African countries as deviations from their long term mean. It is an important source of information for seeking donor funding. For more information on these, the following web sites might be useful:

USAID/Famine Early Warning System

Food and Agriculture Organization

 

Back to Module 8 - Digital Change Detection


Credits

This exercise was written by Mahadevan Ramachandran, Research Fellow at the IDRISI Project/Clark University. A major portion of this exercise was culled from the NDVI workbook and the Change and Time series Analysis workbook (Ramachandran et al, 1996 and Eastman et al, 1995).

References

Eastman et al. (1995) "Change and Time Series Analysis" United Nations Institute for Training and Research/Clark Labs for Cartographic Technology and Geographic Analysis, Clark University, Worcester, MA 01610, USA.

Ramachandran et al. (1996) "An African NDVI Archive, 1982-1996: Techniques for Environmental Monitoring and Analysis" United Nations Institute for Training and Research/Clark Labs for Cartographic Technology and Geographic Analysis, Clark University, Worcester, MA 01610, USA (forthcoming).